Sunday, September 7, 2008

PROTRADE NFL: Good Players, High Prices, But Good Money (9/7/08)

After getting into a conversation recently about how most money on PROTRADE is made by buying and selling players who you either
1. Don't have in your fantasy starting line-up (Brandon Jackson);
2. Would never care about if it weren't for PROTRADE (Kevin Walter);
3. Can't believe you've learned so much about (Chris Perry), and;
4. Won't show up on SportsCenter's "top plays" (Lawrence Tynes)...

I've set out to uncover a few good players, who may seem priced high right now, but will out perform their current price and make a solid long term investment.

Just for reference, this is what I consider "good "...
- Running backs need rush for 1350 yards and 12 touchdowns and 1 fumble (PT$205).
- Quarterbacks need to throw for 3500 yards, 26 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (PT$228).
- Wide receivers need to gain 1200 yards and 10 touchdowns and 1 fumble (PT$178).
- Team stocks need to win more than 11 games and make the playoffs

RUNNING BACKS --

Laurence Maroney , PT Price $180
- Why Should I Buy This Player? I'll grab some shares of Maroney and hold them for them through the Super Bowl. He's got the potential to eclipse the $250 mark with the help of some extra playoff games. Reports are that Maroney will be sharing the load with Sammy Morris and LaMont Jordan, but that doesn't mean he isn't a good buy. Maroney could churn out: 1450 rush yds, 12 tds, 3 fumbles, 350 rec yds, 1 td = $252.00.

Reggie Bush , PT Price $172
- Why Should I Buy This Player? Bush's price is very puzzling. It won't take long for Reggie Bush to be plastered all over the highlights and I can't imagine it will take long for his price to move above $200. PROTRADE's projection for Bush has him recording just 8 total TDs, I think he's easily capable of doubling that: 1000 rush yds, 10 tds, 2 fumbles, 600 rec yds and 6 rec tds = $252.00.

Selvin Young , PT Price $147
- Why Should I Buy This Player? Denver has always relied on a workhorse runner and Young seems to be the next best Bronco back. As a rookie last season, Young recorded 729 yds rushing, but just one touchdown. This former Texas stud is ready for a full work-load, and his price is ready for a huge price jump: 1200 rush yds, 12 tds, 2 fumbles, 300 rec yds and 1 td = $224.00 .

Others: Edgerrin James, Brandon Jacobs, Deuce McAllister

QUARTERBACKS --

Marc Bulger , PT Price $203
-- Why Should I Buy This Player? Bulger's health has been a concern ever since he missed eight games in 2005. But if Bulger can stay healthy he could turn into a good buy. Bulger will get you yards, he threw for 4301 in 2006. He'll get you touchdowns, he has had 20+ four times in his career. NFL veteran wide-outs Torry Holt and Drew Bennett will make Bulger feel comfortable and Steven Jackson forces teams to watch the run at all times. If all goes well this year Bulger could come away with his best season yet: 3900 yds, 25 tds, 12 ints, 251 rush yds = $255.10.

Jon Kitna , PT Price $192
- Why Should I Buy This Player? Kitna has some serious weapons catching passes for him. Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson will each want 1200 yards and 10 touchdowns, so you can pretty much mark it down that Kitna will do 2400 and 20 (PT$176). Not to mention that his third and fourth wide-outs, Shuan McDonald (943 yds, 6 tds) and Mike Furrey (664 yds, 1 td) aren't bad themselves. After back-to-back 4000 yard seasons, am I crazy to think he could have a third?: 4100 yds, 28 tds, 19 ints, 100 rush yds, 1 fumble = $250.00.

JaMarcus Russell , PT Price $150
- Why Should I Buy This Player? In four games last year Russell threw for 373 yards and finished the season with a QB rating of 55.9 throwing more INTs than TDs (4 to 2). As a Vikings follower, I can't help but to think that Russell's rookie year was a learning experience similar to what Daunte Culpepper experienced in his rookie year. Granted Culpepper didn't play, and had Randy Moss to throw to, but nonetheless he blew up in his second year. If McFadden and Curry turn out to be ProBowlers, Russell could turn out to be an fantasic buy. For fun, let's give Russell the same statistics that Culpepper had in his sophomore campaign: 3937 yds, 33 tds, 16 ints, 470 rush yds, 7 rush tds, 6 fumbles = $334.48.

Others: Carson Palmer, Kurt Warner, Vince Young

WIDE RECEIVERS --

Roy Williams , PT Price $150
- Why Should I Buy This Player? With Calvin Johnson on the other side of the field, there is no way that the defense can over-cover both guys, someone is going to benefit. Since Cal is price $11 higher than Roy, it's Williams not Johnson who needs to become a common portfolio name. Williams will set career highs in all statistical categories this year: 1500 yds, 15 tds and 1 fumble = $238.00.

Marvin Harrison , PT Prrice $140
- Why Should I Buy This Player? All signs are pointing to Harrison playing this season and having a normal Harrison-like year, which could mean a big gain. Despite playing in just five games last year, I would be the least bit surprised if Harrison returns to record double digits in touchdowns and quadruple digits in yards: 1366 yds, 12 tds = $208.60.

Donald Driver , PT Price $112
- Why Should I Buy This Player? PROTRADE predicts that Driver will have just under 800 yards and 5 touchdowns. Driver has had four straight 1000 yard seasons and has scored more than 5 in four of the last six seasons. With Rodgers on board, it could go either way for Driver, but there is a good chance he will have to be the bail-out guy for the first year starting QB. Buying Driver will allow you to at least have someone in your portfolio you can make a good gain on that you might actually have in your fantasy line-up as well: 1100 yds, 9 tds = $164.00.

Others: Hines Ward, Patrick Crayton, Bernard Berrian

TEAMS --

New England Patriots , PT Price $210
- Why Should I Buy This TEAM? I'm not sure that it would even surprise people if this team went 16-0 again. I'll just say from experience that if the Patriots start the season with four... five... six straight -- the stock will go beyond the max amount a team can earn with a perfect season. To be fair, I'll say they win 14 games (potential losses: Week 6 @ SD, Week 7 vs DEN, Week 9 @ IND) and finish the season with the title: 14 wins, Super Bowl = $285.00.

Dallas Cowboys , PT Price $160
-- Why Should I Buy This TEAM? I realize that Dallas is the second highest price team to New England but that doesn't mean the stock won't make a big profit. Who is going to beat Dallas? Let's see. Green bay? Pittsburgh? Anyone in their division? If the Cowboys get rolling, I don't see anything less than 14 wins and an trip to the NFC championship game: 14 wins, NFC Champ = $235.00.

Minnesota Vikings , PT Price $115
-- Why Should I Buy This TEAM? Minnesota has AP and a serious D, but will that equal W's? I think the Vikings are at the mercy of how well Tavaris Jackson does. If Jackson can manage the game and connect on a few long balls to Berrian, Rice and Wade, Minnesota could go deep into the playoffs: 12 wins, NFC Championship Game = $185.00.

Others: Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos

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