Two weekends in a row now and I've lost money trading NFL stocks. I've tried my hand at day-trading, tried holding stocks for a week, selling right before the game, buying after a touchdown then dumping before the TD celebration is over -- all in all I've lost money. Either I'm too late to sell or too early. Either I've held too long that I've gotten stuck or sold off only to buy on the wrong end and then miss the spike back the other way.
In order to try to make cash and keep it, I'm buying on speculation and will probably sell before I even see a result. Here are some of the guys that I'll buy now and sell on Sunday:
QUARTERBACKS:
Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB --
In a potential NFC championship game, the Packers face the Cowboys on Football Night in America. Yea, Rodgers should play well, but I'll buy because of the fact that he's playing the Sunday night game (those players tend to rise slowly). But after Rodgers hits Driver in the first quarter, I'll dump him when I feel he's hit a peak.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $47.50, Current Price: $242.06, Percent Earned: 19.62%
Matt Cassel, QB, NE --
After reaching $165.00, the Cassel stock has dropped to it's lowest price ($135) since the initial IPO price ($130.00). If Cassel goes through the motions this weekend, he should find some decent earnings against the Dolphin defense. I'm buying Cassel for the long term, but if he reaches $165 after a three touchdown day to Randy Moss, I'll dump him and move my extra portfolio space somewhere else.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $18.68, Current Price: $135.33, Percent Earned: 13.8%
Trent Edwards, QB, BUF --
Edwards has thrown just two touchdown passes this season, but I'm starting to gain confidence in the 24 year old from Stanford. The Bills look like a playoff team and Edwards seems to have some weapons around him: Lee Evans, James Hardy, Roscoe Parrish, Josh Reed and Robert Royal (all have earned at least $7.00 so far). I'm buy Edwards right now since the Bills have the Raiders on the schedule, but I'll probably dump him when he has two first half INTs.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $24.16, Current Price: $162.21, Percent Earned: 14.89%
WIDE RECEIVERS:
Santana Moss, WR, WASH --
Through two weeks of the season, Santana Moss has more earnings than all but three receivers (Anquan Boldin, Calvin Johnson and TO). Moss could turn into a pretty good buy at $135 as he appears to be the only consistent and trustworthy receiver on the Redskins. Moss is on pace to make $278 with 1600 and 16 TDs, but I'll buy now and will probably sell as soon as Moss is done celebrating TD No. 3 on the season.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $34.80, Current Price: $135.90, Percent Earned: 25.61%
Darrell Jackson, WR, DEN --
I could easily have Eddie Royal here since he currently sits fifth in earnings amongst all wide-outs (and I do have him bought). But I think with all the focus on Royal and Brandon Marshall it will free up veteran Darrell Jackson. Jay Cutler has already found Jackson for one touchdown and his price is predicting he'll only catch three more. I'll gamble on Jackson right now and if he is catchless on Sunday I'll sell right after the game. But if Jackson catches his second after Marshall and Royal get double covered, I might hold onto this one until the Broncos are playing in the playoffs.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $10.80, Current Price: $73.83, Percent Earned: 14.63%
Greg Jennings, WR, GB --
Jennings and Rodgers already seem to have good chemistry. If I'm going with the idea that all the good Sunday night players (GB/DAL) will slowly rise until game-time. I'm buying Jennings at less than $150 and making a post once he scores titled "BEST BUY UNDER $150!".
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $25.80, Current Price: $147.99, Percent Earned: 17.43%
RUNNING BACKS:
Marion Barber, RB, DAL --
Barber trails only Brian Westbrook in earnings by a running back so far this season. If Barber has averaged only 17 carries in each of the first two games, look for him to touch the ball a lot more against the Green Bay defense on Sunday Night. Barber has a ridiculous TD per game ratio: 37 touchdowns in 47 games. I'll buy Barber now and sell right after the spike following his 38th touchdown in his 48th game.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $45.50, Current Price: $242.42, Percent Earned: 18.77%
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG --
As I type, Ahmad Bradshaw sits at the top of the highest percent earned list of running backs. I've seen Bradshaw on other lists of guys to buy in week three probably because the best part about buying Bradshaw right now is that the Giants play the Bengals this weekend. Bradshaw and Jacobs could eat up more than 200 yards and rack up a couple scores. Bradshaw's current price paces him to score just two more touchdowns -- something conceivably achievable on Sunday.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $21.22, Current Price: $78.00, Percent Earned: 27.2%
Fred Jackson, RB, BUF --
Jackson is another low priced back-up that could be good to stick in your portfolio every Thursday and sell off prior to the game on Sunday. Other players like Jackson are Tim Hightower (ARI), Brandon Jackson (GB), Warrick Dunn (TB) and Pierre Thomas (NO). These guys are priced low enough to catch a nice spike with just a single score. But be quick to sell because you may get stuck having to hold one of these stocks from Sunday night to Thursday afternoon (when no one is trading or thinking of buying them). I've never tried doing it myself, but it might be a good plan to short these guys if they come up empty Sunday.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $13.10, Current Price: $68.08, Percent Earned: 19.24%
No comments:
Post a Comment