Friday, September 19, 2008

NFL Power Rankings: WEEK 2 (9/19/08)

NFL Power Rankings: WEEK 2

I'm ranking the NFL every Friday (because working on Friday afternoons sucks, I'll write power rankings while I'm getting paid). My opinion means very little to very many, but I'm giving you what I've got anyway. Here are the power rankings after two weeks of the season:

RK LW TEAM REC COMMENT
1 1 Dallas Cowboys 2-0-0 Dallas remains on top of the NFL after winning a Monday Night thriller
2 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 2-0-0 The defense looks good, Pittsburgh is solid. How is Ben's shoulder?
3 4 New York Giants 2-0-0 New York has held opponents to the lowest total so far out of any NFC team
4 7 Green Bay Packers 2-0-0 Sunday Night will be a real test vs Dallas
5 9 New England Patriots 2-0-0 Cassel doesn't look great, but doesn't look bad either, that's all it takes in NE
6 3 Philadelphia Eagles 1-1-0 The Eagles pushed Dallas to the limit, I'm excited for week 17 (rematch)
7 12 Buffalo Bills 2-0-0 Could Trent Edwards really be the new Jim Kelly?
8 6 Indianapolis Colts 1-1-0 Barely got the win vs MIN, but this team is still a mystery
9 13 Denver Broncos 2-0-0 Luck is part of the equation, so are big balls (Shanahan's OT gamble)
10 14 Carolina Panthers 2-0-0 How far Delhomme goes, so go the Panthers
11 5 New Orleans Saints 1-1-0 Offense is great (10th overall), defense not so much (29th)
12 8 San Diego Chargers 0-2-0 The Chargers have been stung two weeks in a row, now LT's hurting, uh oh.
13 16 Tennessee Titans 2-0-0 Can Kerry Collins really carry this team? I doubt it.
14 20 Arizona Cardinals 2-0-0 Niners, Dolphins aren't quality wins, Hightower is stealing Edge's TDs
15 11 New York Jets 1-1-0 With0-2 San Diego on the schedule, it could be two losses in a row for NYJ
16 10 Jacksonville Jaguars 0-2-0 Jacksonville was the "sleeper" pick in the AFC, they need to wake up
17 17 Chicago Bears 1-1-0 Kyle Orton hasn't lost his job yet, isn't that something
18 23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1-1-0 I'm tempted to put Tampa ahead of CHI, maybe if they beat them SUN
19 15 Minnesota Vikings 0-2-0 I bet a buddy that Tjack would have a higher QB rating than Orton, opps.
20 27 Washington Redskins 1-1-0 Like most questionable teams, they are only as strong as the QB
21 22 Baltimore Ravens 1-0-0 Getting healthy thanks to a Week 2 bye could really help the Ravens
22 21 Atlanta Falcons 1-1-0 Wow, re-do all fantasy football drafts with Michael Turner No. 1 overall
23 18 Seattle Seahawks 0-2-0 Receiver woes could spell big trouble in Seattle
24 28 San Francisco 49ers 1-1-0 If the Niners want to score, they need to have the ball (only 22 mins SUN)
25 19 Cleveland Browns 0-2-0 When will Browns fans start calling for Brady Quinn?
26 24 Houston Texans 0-1-0 I have Steve Slaton pulling a Chris Johnson impression this weekend vs TEN
27 30 Oakland Raiders 1-1-0 Could it be true? Oakland has a defense?
28 25 Cincinnati Bengals 0-2-0 Palmer hasn't thrown a TD pass yet, I got him throwing at least three in week 3
29 26 Detroit Lions 0-2-0 It's hard to rank this team any higher, or any lower
30 31 Miami Dolphins 0-2-0 Where is the running game in Miami? Or the passing game?
31 29 St. Louis Rams 0-2-0 I refuse to put the Rams last, they have to be better than this
32 32 Kansas City Chiefs 0-2-0 Atlanta this week could mean a win, the only win they could have all year

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

NFL WEEK 3: Buy Now, Abandon Sunday (9/17/08)

Two weekends in a row now and I've lost money trading NFL stocks. I've tried my hand at day-trading, tried holding stocks for a week, selling right before the game, buying after a touchdown then dumping before the TD celebration is over -- all in all I've lost money. Either I'm too late to sell or too early. Either I've held too long that I've gotten stuck or sold off only to buy on the wrong end and then miss the spike back the other way.

In order to try to make cash and keep it, I'm buying on speculation and will probably sell before I even see a result. Here are some of the guys that I'll buy now and sell on Sunday:

QUARTERBACKS:

Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB --

In a potential NFC championship game, the Packers face the Cowboys on Football Night in America. Yea, Rodgers should play well, but I'll buy because of the fact that he's playing the Sunday night game (those players tend to rise slowly). But after Rodgers hits Driver in the first quarter, I'll dump him when I feel he's hit a peak.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $47.50, Current Price: $242.06, Percent Earned: 19.62%

Matt Cassel, QB, NE --

After reaching $165.00, the Cassel stock has dropped to it's lowest price ($135) since the initial IPO price ($130.00). If Cassel goes through the motions this weekend, he should find some decent earnings against the Dolphin defense. I'm buying Cassel for the long term, but if he reaches $165 after a three touchdown day to Randy Moss, I'll dump him and move my extra portfolio space somewhere else.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $18.68, Current Price: $135.33, Percent Earned: 13.8%

Trent Edwards, QB, BUF --

Edwards has thrown just two touchdown passes this season, but I'm starting to gain confidence in the 24 year old from Stanford. The Bills look like a playoff team and Edwards seems to have some weapons around him: Lee Evans, James Hardy, Roscoe Parrish, Josh Reed and Robert Royal (all have earned at least $7.00 so far). I'm buy Edwards right now since the Bills have the Raiders on the schedule, but I'll probably dump him when he has two first half INTs.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $24.16, Current Price: $162.21, Percent Earned: 14.89%


WIDE RECEIVERS:


Santana Moss, WR, WASH --

Through two weeks of the season, Santana Moss has more earnings than all but three receivers (Anquan Boldin, Calvin Johnson and TO). Moss could turn into a pretty good buy at $135 as he appears to be the only consistent and trustworthy receiver on the Redskins. Moss is on pace to make $278 with 1600 and 16 TDs, but I'll buy now and will probably sell as soon as Moss is done celebrating TD No. 3 on the season.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $34.80, Current Price: $135.90, Percent Earned: 25.61%

Darrell Jackson, WR, DEN --

I could easily have Eddie Royal here since he currently sits fifth in earnings amongst all wide-outs (and I do have him bought). But I think with all the focus on Royal and Brandon Marshall it will free up veteran Darrell Jackson. Jay Cutler has already found Jackson for one touchdown and his price is predicting he'll only catch three more. I'll gamble on Jackson right now and if he is catchless on Sunday I'll sell right after the game. But if Jackson catches his second after Marshall and Royal get double covered, I might hold onto this one until the Broncos are playing in the playoffs.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $10.80, Current Price: $73.83, Percent Earned: 14.63%

Greg Jennings, WR, GB --

Jennings and Rodgers already seem to have good chemistry. If I'm going with the idea that all the good Sunday night players (GB/DAL) will slowly rise until game-time. I'm buying Jennings at less than $150 and making a post once he scores titled "BEST BUY UNDER $150!".
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $25.80, Current Price: $147.99, Percent Earned: 17.43%


RUNNING BACKS:

Marion Barber, RB, DAL --

Barber trails only Brian Westbrook in earnings by a running back so far this season. If Barber has averaged only 17 carries in each of the first two games, look for him to touch the ball a lot more against the Green Bay defense on Sunday Night. Barber has a ridiculous TD per game ratio: 37 touchdowns in 47 games. I'll buy Barber now and sell right after the spike following his 38th touchdown in his 48th game.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $45.50, Current Price: $242.42, Percent Earned: 18.77%

Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG --

As I type, Ahmad Bradshaw sits at the top of the highest percent earned list of running backs. I've seen Bradshaw on other lists of guys to buy in week three probably because the best part about buying Bradshaw right now is that the Giants play the Bengals this weekend. Bradshaw and Jacobs could eat up more than 200 yards and rack up a couple scores. Bradshaw's current price paces him to score just two more touchdowns -- something conceivably achievable on Sunday.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $21.22, Current Price: $78.00, Percent Earned: 27.2%

Fred Jackson, RB, BUF --

Jackson is another low priced back-up that could be good to stick in your portfolio every Thursday and sell off prior to the game on Sunday. Other players like Jackson are Tim Hightower (ARI), Brandon Jackson (GB), Warrick Dunn (TB) and Pierre Thomas (NO). These guys are priced low enough to catch a nice spike with just a single score. But be quick to sell because you may get stuck having to hold one of these stocks from Sunday night to Thursday afternoon (when no one is trading or thinking of buying them). I've never tried doing it myself, but it might be a good plan to short these guys if they come up empty Sunday.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $13.10, Current Price: $68.08, Percent Earned: 19.24%

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Fantasy Football CHEat Sheet: Re-Ranked TOP 125 (9/13/08)

Wow, what if we could draft again knowing what we know after week one?

Here is my re-ranked top 125...

1. Adrian Peterson
2. LaDainian Tomlinson
3. Brian Westbrook
4. Marion Barber
5. Steven Jackson
6. Joseph Addai
7. Randy Moss
8. Frank Gore
9. Peyton Manning
10. Michael Turner
11. Marshawn Lynch
12. Clinton Portis
13. Larry Johnson
14. Ryan Grant
15. Reggie Wayne
16. Terrell Owens
17. Braylon Edwards
18. Steve Smith
19. Larry Fitzgerald
20. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
21. Brandon Marshall
22. Andre Johnson
23. Laurence Maroney
24. Willie Parker
25. Torry Holt
26. Chad Johnson
27. Plaxico Burress
28. Maurice Jones-Drew
29. Brandon Jacobs
30. Jamal Lewis
31. Reggie Bush
32. Earnest Graham
33. Drew Brees
34. Tony Romo
35. Anquan Boldin
36. Jerricho Cotchery
37. Matt Forte
38. Roy Williams
39. Santonio Holmes
40. Marvin Harrison
41. Calvin Johnson
42. Dwayne Bowe
43. Hines Ward
44. Greg Jennings
45. Donovan McNabb
46. Ronnie Brown
47. Thomas Jones
48. Edgerrin James
49. Chris Johnson
50. LenDale White
51. DeAngelo Williams
52. Derek Anderson
53. Carson Palmer
54. Ben Roethlisberger
55. Lee Evans
56. Laveranues Coles
57. Chris Chambers
58. Wes Welker
59. Darren McFadden
60. Antonio Gates
61. Jason Witten
62. Kellen Winslow
63. Tony Gonzalez
64. Dallas Clark
65. Jeremy Shockey
66. Donald Driver
67. Roddy White
68. Patrick Crayton
69. Santana Moss
70. Willis McGahee
71. Matt Hasselbeck
72. Marques Colston
73. Eddie Royal
74. Joey Galloway
75. Anthony Gonzalez
76. Bernard Berrian
77. Jonathan Stewart
78. Kevin Smith
79. Fred Taylor
80. Selvin Young
81. Julius Jones
82. Rashard Mendenhall
83. Chester Taylor
84. Felix Jones
85. Justin Fargas
86. Minnesota
87. Marc Bulger
88. Kevin Curtis
89. Eli Manning
90. Brett Favre
91. Chicago
92. Heath Miller
93. Todd Heap
94. Chris Cooley
95. Vernon Davis
96. Matt Schaub
97. Jake Delhomme
98. Kenny Watson
99. Ronald Curry
100. Chris Perry
101. Sidney Rice
102. Baltimore
103. Jerious Norwood
104. Green Bay
105. Aaron Rodgers
106. Reggie Brown
107. Ahmad Bradshaw
108. Ricky Williams
109. Jay Cutler
110. San Diego
111. New England
112. David Garrard
113. Jon Kitna
114. Pittsburgh
115. Nick Folk
116. Philip Rivers
117. Dallas
118. Jacksonville
119. Stephen Gostkowski
120. Kurt Warner
121. Muhsin Muhammad
122. Vincent Jackson
123. Javon Walker
124. Bryant Johnson
125. Hank Baskett


Ok, I realize after skimming my rankings that people are going to wonder: What is this based off of... Or "How can you not have Turner/Parker 1/2?"... Well, I would use this list or something close to if I were drafting a team "today" for the rest of the season. So, some players are obviously going to be removed (Tom Brady), some players are going to take a hit (Marques Colston) and some of them are going to get a boost (Michael Turner). I'm always open for criticism...

NFL WEEK 2: Who Are You Watching? (9/13/08)

There are a few games this weekend that I will be keeping a close eye on. The Dallas/Philadelphia game Monday, I'm looking forward to seeing what Cassel can do against Favre and I'm sitting in on the Colts/Vikings game at the Metrodome. As much as I'm keeping an eye on the games, I'll be watching a few players as well. I've picked two from each of the main positions and highlighted why they are on my radar.


QUARTERBACKS :

David Garrard, QB, JAC --

I saw Garrard get picked early in a lot of fantasy drafts and I think this week is his chance to show people why. Last year against Jacksonville's opponent on Sunday, Buffalo, he set season highs in completions (23), attempts (37) and yards (296). I'm watching Garrard because it's going to be very tough to reach last years season highs again this time around with a very unstable offensive line and with Jerry Porter out again. Then again, the Bills defense is vulnerable.
--Season-to-Date Earnings: $6.80, Current Price: $192.19
.

Marc Bulger, QB, STL --

Bulger is out to prove that his Rams aren't as bad as they played in the opener. Bulger said this week that the tempo will be better (six false starts in week one) and that they will be better on third down (0/11 week one). With Drew Bennett out, things might not get any better for Bulger.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $6.32, Current Price: $201.66
.

WIDE RECEIVERS :

Santonio Holmes, WR, PIT --

Holmes was drafted ahead of Hines Ward in nearly every fantasy draft, but week one Ward looked like the better choice. Holmes had just 19 yards week one, while Ward had 76 yards and 2 scores. If Cleveland's secondary decides to overplay Ward, Holmes could get deep on a couple long bombs and remind people why he was worth the early selection.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $1.90, Current Price: $168.05
.

Patrick Crayton, WR, DAL --

In the season opener Crayton made an immediate impact on the Cowboys offense with six catches and 82 yards. Under the Monday Night lights, Crayton may crumble against the Eagles secondary -- who held Crayton to just two catches and 54 yards last year. Playing pposite Terrell Owens will allow anyone to get open, I'm watching to see if Crayton can take advantage and cement himself as the new Alvin Harper.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $8.20, Current Price: $124.17
.

RUNNING BACKS :

LaDainian Tomlinson , RB, SD --

Tomlinson is listed as questionable for week two at Denver with a toe injury. He apparently stubbed his toe on the last drive of week one, but I doubt it will prevent him from racking up big fantasy points against the Broncos. But if LT is unable to go, try dropping a couple trades to whatever owner has him -- you never know if you could steal him while people are down on him. I think he'll be fine considering what he's done against Denver in the past, rushing for 1,222 yards, 15 TDs in 14 games against them.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $11.20, Current Price: $313.97
.

Matt Forte, RB, CHI --

After a stellar debut, it appears that rookie Matt Forte will be "limited" week two. Welcome to the NFL, Mr. Forte. He is banged up with ankle tightness as well as simple soreness -- bumps and bruises. Forte will play against the Panthers, but I'm watching to see if he has the durability to bounce back from a solid week one performance against the Colts, 23 rushes, 123 yards (third best week one) and 1 score.
-- Season-to-Date Earnings: $20.10, Current Price: $197.20
.


Who are you watching?

Friday, September 12, 2008

NFL Power Rankings: WEEK 1 (Sept. 12, 2008)

NFL Power Rankings: WEEK 1

You know how power rankings work. Here is what I have after the first week of the NFL season:

RK TEAM REC COMMENT
1 Dallas Cowboys 1-0-0 It's not tough putting Dallas No. 1, but beware of the NFC East
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 1-0-0 So much for Mendenhall, Parker had 138 yards on 25 carries and 3 scores
3 Philadelphia Eagles 1-0-0 McNabb looked as good week one as he did during the Super Bowl run in 2004
4 New York Giants 1-0-0 Strahan is predicting the Cowboys to win it all
5 New Orleans Saints 1-0-0 Losing Colston is about the only thing keeping the Saints from that No. 1 spot
6 Indianapolis Colts 0-1-0 It takes 9 minutes to open the Lucas Oil Stadium roof
7 Green Bay Packers 1-0-0 Rodgers looked good week 1, can he look good the remaining 15 weeks?
8 San Diego Chargers 0-1-0 San Diego will try to get past a week 1 stinging from Carolina
9 New England Patriots 1-0-0 Maybe with Brady out Maroney will have a shot at 1400 and 10, ha!
10 Jacksonville Jaguars 0-1-0 Offensive line troubles could play a huge factor in the Jags success
11 New York Jets 1-0-0 Am I really going to eat my words about Brett Favre being too old?
12 Buffalo Bills 1-0-0 It takes 20 minutes to open the Rogers Centre roof
13 Denver Broncos 1-0-0 I really like the Broncos, but beating the Raiders isn't something special
14 Carolina Panthers 1-0-0 No Steve Smith, No worries, Carolina could be a team to watch
15 Minnesota Vikings 0-1-0 The Vikings/Colts loser will have to play catch-up all season
16 Tennessee Titans 1-0-0 Thunder (White) and Lightning (Johnson) is striking in Tennessee
17 Chicago Bears 1-0-0 I just don't believe in the Bears, Forte could change my opinion
18 Seattle Seahawks 0-1-0 Receiver woes could spell big trouble in Seattle
19 Cleveland Browns 0-1-0 The defense needs to match the offense in Cleveland
20 Arizona Cardinals 1-0-0 Beating the 49ers isn't something to write home about, but at least it's a win
21 Atlanta Falcons 1-0-0 Wow, re-do all fantasy football drafts with Michael Turner No. 1 overall
22 Baltimore Ravens 1-0-0 I don't know if Baltimore is for real, this might be their highest rank all year
23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-1-0 Garcia's out, Griese's in: Tampa fans better enjoy the Rays success
24 Houston Texans 0-1-0 HOU/BAL will play Monday on CBS, I'm watching DAL/PHI on ESPN though
25 Cincinnati Bengals 0-1-0 Palmer looked pretty bad week 1, he'll blame the offensive line
26 Detroit Lions 0-1-0 The only good thing about the Lions is the fantasy value: Kitna, Cal, Roy
27 Washington Redskins 0-1-0 Like most questionable teams, they are only as strong as the QB
28 San Francisco 49ers 0-1-0 If the Niners want to score, they need to have the ball (only 22 mins SUN)
29 St. Louis Rams 0-1-0 Where the H-E fieldgoal posts was the "best show on turf" Sunday?
30 Oakland Raiders 0-1-0 Oakland has problems, but at least they're young
31 Miami Dolphins 0-1-0 Chad Pennington and Ricky Williams are the Dolphins cover-boy's, yikes.

Sunday, September 7, 2008

PROTRADE NFL: Good Players, High Prices, But Good Money (9/7/08)

After getting into a conversation recently about how most money on PROTRADE is made by buying and selling players who you either
1. Don't have in your fantasy starting line-up (Brandon Jackson);
2. Would never care about if it weren't for PROTRADE (Kevin Walter);
3. Can't believe you've learned so much about (Chris Perry), and;
4. Won't show up on SportsCenter's "top plays" (Lawrence Tynes)...

I've set out to uncover a few good players, who may seem priced high right now, but will out perform their current price and make a solid long term investment.

Just for reference, this is what I consider "good "...
- Running backs need rush for 1350 yards and 12 touchdowns and 1 fumble (PT$205).
- Quarterbacks need to throw for 3500 yards, 26 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (PT$228).
- Wide receivers need to gain 1200 yards and 10 touchdowns and 1 fumble (PT$178).
- Team stocks need to win more than 11 games and make the playoffs

RUNNING BACKS --

Laurence Maroney , PT Price $180
- Why Should I Buy This Player? I'll grab some shares of Maroney and hold them for them through the Super Bowl. He's got the potential to eclipse the $250 mark with the help of some extra playoff games. Reports are that Maroney will be sharing the load with Sammy Morris and LaMont Jordan, but that doesn't mean he isn't a good buy. Maroney could churn out: 1450 rush yds, 12 tds, 3 fumbles, 350 rec yds, 1 td = $252.00.

Reggie Bush , PT Price $172
- Why Should I Buy This Player? Bush's price is very puzzling. It won't take long for Reggie Bush to be plastered all over the highlights and I can't imagine it will take long for his price to move above $200. PROTRADE's projection for Bush has him recording just 8 total TDs, I think he's easily capable of doubling that: 1000 rush yds, 10 tds, 2 fumbles, 600 rec yds and 6 rec tds = $252.00.

Selvin Young , PT Price $147
- Why Should I Buy This Player? Denver has always relied on a workhorse runner and Young seems to be the next best Bronco back. As a rookie last season, Young recorded 729 yds rushing, but just one touchdown. This former Texas stud is ready for a full work-load, and his price is ready for a huge price jump: 1200 rush yds, 12 tds, 2 fumbles, 300 rec yds and 1 td = $224.00 .

Others: Edgerrin James, Brandon Jacobs, Deuce McAllister

QUARTERBACKS --

Marc Bulger , PT Price $203
-- Why Should I Buy This Player? Bulger's health has been a concern ever since he missed eight games in 2005. But if Bulger can stay healthy he could turn into a good buy. Bulger will get you yards, he threw for 4301 in 2006. He'll get you touchdowns, he has had 20+ four times in his career. NFL veteran wide-outs Torry Holt and Drew Bennett will make Bulger feel comfortable and Steven Jackson forces teams to watch the run at all times. If all goes well this year Bulger could come away with his best season yet: 3900 yds, 25 tds, 12 ints, 251 rush yds = $255.10.

Jon Kitna , PT Price $192
- Why Should I Buy This Player? Kitna has some serious weapons catching passes for him. Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson will each want 1200 yards and 10 touchdowns, so you can pretty much mark it down that Kitna will do 2400 and 20 (PT$176). Not to mention that his third and fourth wide-outs, Shuan McDonald (943 yds, 6 tds) and Mike Furrey (664 yds, 1 td) aren't bad themselves. After back-to-back 4000 yard seasons, am I crazy to think he could have a third?: 4100 yds, 28 tds, 19 ints, 100 rush yds, 1 fumble = $250.00.

JaMarcus Russell , PT Price $150
- Why Should I Buy This Player? In four games last year Russell threw for 373 yards and finished the season with a QB rating of 55.9 throwing more INTs than TDs (4 to 2). As a Vikings follower, I can't help but to think that Russell's rookie year was a learning experience similar to what Daunte Culpepper experienced in his rookie year. Granted Culpepper didn't play, and had Randy Moss to throw to, but nonetheless he blew up in his second year. If McFadden and Curry turn out to be ProBowlers, Russell could turn out to be an fantasic buy. For fun, let's give Russell the same statistics that Culpepper had in his sophomore campaign: 3937 yds, 33 tds, 16 ints, 470 rush yds, 7 rush tds, 6 fumbles = $334.48.

Others: Carson Palmer, Kurt Warner, Vince Young

WIDE RECEIVERS --

Roy Williams , PT Price $150
- Why Should I Buy This Player? With Calvin Johnson on the other side of the field, there is no way that the defense can over-cover both guys, someone is going to benefit. Since Cal is price $11 higher than Roy, it's Williams not Johnson who needs to become a common portfolio name. Williams will set career highs in all statistical categories this year: 1500 yds, 15 tds and 1 fumble = $238.00.

Marvin Harrison , PT Prrice $140
- Why Should I Buy This Player? All signs are pointing to Harrison playing this season and having a normal Harrison-like year, which could mean a big gain. Despite playing in just five games last year, I would be the least bit surprised if Harrison returns to record double digits in touchdowns and quadruple digits in yards: 1366 yds, 12 tds = $208.60.

Donald Driver , PT Price $112
- Why Should I Buy This Player? PROTRADE predicts that Driver will have just under 800 yards and 5 touchdowns. Driver has had four straight 1000 yard seasons and has scored more than 5 in four of the last six seasons. With Rodgers on board, it could go either way for Driver, but there is a good chance he will have to be the bail-out guy for the first year starting QB. Buying Driver will allow you to at least have someone in your portfolio you can make a good gain on that you might actually have in your fantasy line-up as well: 1100 yds, 9 tds = $164.00.

Others: Hines Ward, Patrick Crayton, Bernard Berrian

TEAMS --

New England Patriots , PT Price $210
- Why Should I Buy This TEAM? I'm not sure that it would even surprise people if this team went 16-0 again. I'll just say from experience that if the Patriots start the season with four... five... six straight -- the stock will go beyond the max amount a team can earn with a perfect season. To be fair, I'll say they win 14 games (potential losses: Week 6 @ SD, Week 7 vs DEN, Week 9 @ IND) and finish the season with the title: 14 wins, Super Bowl = $285.00.

Dallas Cowboys , PT Price $160
-- Why Should I Buy This TEAM? I realize that Dallas is the second highest price team to New England but that doesn't mean the stock won't make a big profit. Who is going to beat Dallas? Let's see. Green bay? Pittsburgh? Anyone in their division? If the Cowboys get rolling, I don't see anything less than 14 wins and an trip to the NFC championship game: 14 wins, NFC Champ = $235.00.

Minnesota Vikings , PT Price $115
-- Why Should I Buy This TEAM? Minnesota has AP and a serious D, but will that equal W's? I think the Vikings are at the mercy of how well Tavaris Jackson does. If Jackson can manage the game and connect on a few long balls to Berrian, Rice and Wade, Minnesota could go deep into the playoffs: 12 wins, NFC Championship Game = $185.00.

Others: Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos