Wednesday, April 30, 2008

PGA Preview: Wachovia Championship IPO REQUEST EDITION (4/30/08)

Phil Mickelson, Vijay Singh, Jim Furyk, Steve Stricker, Jim Furyk, Adam Scott, Sergio Garcia, Geoff Ogilvy, Stewart Cink, Justin Rose, Aaron Baddeley, Luke Donald and Rory Sabbatini all tee it up this weekend for the Wachovia Championship. The aforementioned names make up 13 of the top 20 on the 2008 PGA Tour Rankings.

I was surprised to see that last Wednesday's IPOs post got 45 useful votes and only seven useless (one of the seven was me). Ten baseball players (four I've never heard of) and zero golfers? 45 useful?? Come on. The market was quick to get D.J. Trahan, Steve Lowery and J.B. Holmes back on February 20, but there hasn't been any PGA additions since.

Believe me, I understand we don't need anymore Wetterich's or Oberholser's on the market. But there are are few quality golfers that because PT doesn't include on the market, I unfortunately don't follow them as closely.

So, in hope to help PT decide which golfers deserve to make it on the market, I'm using this week to highlight the top five golfers who are contending in the Wachovica and need an initial public offering.


1. Cliff Kresge - Potential IPO Price: $171.50 - Google Results: 96,800 - Turned Pro: 1991
-- Cliff Kresge isn't exactly new to life on the PGA tour having turned pro in '91 and playing his final season in his 40's (turns 50 Oct. 3). Kresge has three top 10's already this season, which alone is worthy enough for an IPO request. And unlike many of the golfers on the PT market floor, Kresge is able to start and finish a tournament. He's 8/11 on cuts made and has finished in the top 50 seven times.

2. Steve Marino - Potential IPO Price: $170.00 - Google Results: 80,900 - Turned Pro: 2002
-- Before his recent finishes (last three tournaments: MC, T66th, T42nd), Marino looked as good as anyone on tour. From the first event he played (Tied for 4th, even after a final round of 72), Marino has strung together his best season as a pro finishing as high as runner-up (meatwadzero...) at the Mayakoba Classic.

3. Matt Kuchar - Potential IPO Price: $166.00 - Google Results: 111,000 - Turned Pro: 2000
-- Matt Kuchar has had a rollercoaster type season, finishing as low as third and as high as 98th. But there is no denying that when this guy is on, he is on. Proof of that was when he went lower and lower from Thursday to Sunday to finish tied for 7th at the Verizon Heritage a few weeks back. Stop "punk-ing" Kuchar and add him to the market already.

4. Kevin Na - Potential IPO Price: $161.00 - Google Results: 111,000 - Turned Pro: 2001
-- Kevin Na finished fourth twice in his first four events this season, but then fell into a rut from late-February through March. Though, April has been better for Na with a T26th at the Shell Houston and a tied for 17th at the Verizon Heritage. A couple more high finishes and there is no reason that Na should not get IPO-love.

5. Mathew Goggin - Potential IPO Price: $169.00 - Google Results: 102,000 - Turned Pro: 1995
-- Goggin has made a strong case that he's ready to make it onto the market floor with his last three events. Goggin finished tied for 7th at the Honda for his best result of the season back in February, but more impressively has finished in the top 20 in three straight tournaments. Another reason to add Goggin: How many professional athletes come out of Tasmania?


Other players at the Wachovia that might be worthy of an IPO request:
Parker McLachlin, Alex Cejka, Jeff Maggert, Charlie Wi, Brian Guy, Kenny Perry, Tom Pernice Jr, Dustin Johnson

Not playing in the Wachovia, but worthy of an IPO request:
Marco Dawson, Ben Crane, Niclas Fasth, John Merrick, Frank Lickliter II, Fred Couples, Steve Elkington

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

NBA MVP: Kobe Bryant or Chris Paul? (4/29/08)

The 2008 MVP will be announced soon and I can't decide who should win. Kobe Bryant has never won the award and his team finished first overall in the West, but Chris Paul helped a team with no expectations finish with the second seed in the most difficult West in history all while leading the league in both assists (11.6) and steals (2.71).

Paul, not Bryant, is the more deserving MVP. It's easier to see the value that Paul brings to the Hornets because of what is around him compared to what players surround Bryant. The definition of "MVP" and even the trophy itself are both consistently called into question at this time of year. How the NBA MVP is decided each year is a mystery. The NBA MVP voters could pull the history card and select Bryant in order to cement his place amongst with the thought that Paul (since he's only 22) will have another MVP worthy season in his young career. Or voters could play the flash card and select Paul in order to play up his impact on the city of New Orleans and because he was the flashier pick.

The Lakers sans Bryant wouldn't be a lottery team, but the Hornets sans Paul wouldn't either.

As much as Bryant may have made teammates like Ronny Turiaf, Andrew Bynum and Jordan Farmar better, there is a good argument that Paul made every player on his team better. Paul has reserected what seemed like a lost career for Peja Stojakovic better by opening up the floor for him to sit at the three line. You could easily argue that he set up David West for a break-out all-star season. And Tyson Chandler looked amazing all season throwing down the oop for every Paul alley. Oh, sorry Byron Scott, I didn't mean to misquote you, "He's made David West Better. He's made Tyson Chandler Better. He gets Peja Stojakovic open shots. Without a doubt, if you take him off our team, we wouldn't be a .500 team."

Paul is the first player in 15 years to average more than 20 points and 10 assists (the last: Kevin Johnson) and he's proving it in the post season. Paul was quick to set a playoff record as the first player to post consecutive games of at least 30 points, 10 assists and three steals.

Any talk about Paul inevitably provokes comparisons to Isiah Thomas for their style, size and spirit. Paul might have some work to do to live up to Thomas, who won two championships and is in the Hall of Fame. But there is one thing that Paul doesn't want to share in common with Thomas -- not winning an MVP trophy.

Bryant, not Paul, will more than likely be the winner of this year's MVP. It is easy to say that Bryant had better players than Paul and that he was set-up to win this year's award. Maybe that's true. But match KB24 one-on-one against CP3 and see what happens. Not fair, I know. Match KB24's Lakers against CP3's Hornets and see what happens. Not fair again, I know. So, what makes Paul, not Bryant, the MVP again? Numbers. Look it up, Paul's numbers are arguably better than Bryant's, but also better than Steve Nash's numbers when he won the MVP in '06.

Now, before we cast our vote for Paul, consider who finished runner-up to Nash in '06 -- Bryant. In '05-'06 Bryant took a 34 win team and turned it into 45 wins and had a blistering league leading scoring average of 35.4 ppg. Nash had 18.8 ppg and 10.5 apg improving the Suns win total by eight and was given his second MVP in a row. Looking back, that should have been Kobe's trophy and this year would have gone to Paul without hesitation.

Haters get ready to hate. How can someone be named the MVP of a team he didn't want to be a part of at the beginning of the season? And how hard was it for the Lakers to win the West when a world-class basketball player falls into their laps in exchange for a couple of lousy bench warmers and some future late first round draft picks. In games with Gasol, the Lakers were 22-4. In games with Kobe, but without Gasol, the Lakers were 35-21. Some would argue Bryant isn't even the MVP of his own team. So what makes Bryant, not Paul, the MVP again? Career numbers. Look it up, Bryant's career numbers are as good if not better than any past MVP winner.

Bryant is the first player since Michael Jordan who can create and make a shot from anywhere inside 30 feet on any defender in the NBA. For that alone he's worthy of the MVP. Not since Jordan has there been a player who competes at the level that Bryant does, or wants to win like Kobe does, or plays under any circumstance, hurt or ill, the way that Kobe does (remember that his finger still needs surgery). Not since MJ has any dunk seemed possible again. Not since MJ has a team relied so confidently on one person and been successful. And not since MJ has the NBA had one player known as "the player".

Kobe Bryant came into the NBA playing for Magic's team with "next-Jordan" tattooed on his forehead. On the court Kobe has played comparable to both Johnson and Jordan, but in the awards department -- there is no comparison. MJ and MJ combined for eight MVP trophies (six straight between '87 and '92), while Kobe has none. After 11 years in the league, many of them being worthy of an MVP trophy (2001, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007), it seems appropriate to name Bryant this year's most valuable.

There are so many arguments for both players. And so many story-lines for both players. But ultimately there is only one winner.

...Or is there?

What about a co-MVP? In 2003, the NFL didn't decide between Peyton Manning and Steve McNair naming both quarterbacks the league MVP. Though, what usually happens is there's an MVP snub -- which is what I assume will be the case for this year's non-winner. I'm leaning towards Kobe for what I think will happen, but I feel like Paul had the "better" season. I can't decide...

Thursday, April 24, 2008

PGA Preview: EDS Byron Nelson Championship (4/23/08)

The next stop on the PGA tour brings us Irving, Texas for the EDS Byron Nelson Championship. Byron Nelson was the tournament's first winner in 1944 and his name has been attached to the event since 1968. Last year's winner Scott Verplank might make a good pick to pull another back-to-back on back-to-back PGA Tour weekends, but he didn't make it on my list. Here are my guys to consider and guys to avoid, comment and let me know who you'll be watching or avoiding.


Players to Consider:

1. Adam Scott - Scott followed his WD at the Shell Houston Open with a T25 at The Masters. It's always a decent gamble picking Scott to do well following a pressure filled major. I have to predict that Scott will be on top of his game for this weekend's Byron Nelson -- an event he skipped last year, but finished third the year before.

2. Sergio Garcia - Sergio has only missed the cut in one event this season, but it was his last and the first major of the season. And his one MC came after his best finish of the season (T15th at the WGC-CA). As the tournament's poster boy and champion in '04, it should be a productive weekend for the Spaniard from Castellon.

3. Justin Leonard -- After starting the year with three top 10 finishes, Leonard has settled on finishing every even somewhere in the top 25 (averaging a 24th place finish). Leonard's average of 41 fantasy points per tournament ranks as the best average amongst the golfers entered in the EDS Byron Nelson Championship. I've been hesitant on picking Leonard because I have sensed a slump coming, but with fewer options for who to consider, Leonard fills a spot on my list.

4. Kevin Sutherland -- Sutherland's final round 67 at the Shell Houston Open helped propel him to capture his second top 10 of the season. With no real blow-up round or tournament on his 2008 resume, it's time to start closely considering Sutherland to be a contender every weekend. If he's able to avoid a big score in round one, it should be another top finish for this PGA veteran.

5. Cliff Kresge -- Cliff has been up and down this year so far. He's managed to finish three times top five but as been on the outside of the top 50 four times (also once he tied for 49th, another event he finished T43). After going 10 under and finishing fifth at the Verizon Heritage last weekend, I am closely watching Kresge and considering him for my fantasy line-up.


Players to Avoid:

1. Rory Sabbatini -- Not since the FBR in early February has Sabbatini finished a tournament under par. After missing the cut at The Masters which was the follow-up to a T70 finish at the WGC-CA, there is little reason to consider Sabbatini this weekend.

2. Jeff Maggert -- Coming into the Byron Nelson Championship, Maggert has missed the cut in his last two events. After not participating (not invited) at The Master's, all the downtime that Maggert has had to think about his poor play makes him easily avoidable.

3. Chad Campbell -- Seriously, avoid Chad Campbell. You might be O.K. taking Sabbatini or Maggert, but I can't say the same about Campbell. Despite the stellar second overall finish at the Shell Houston Open, he missed the cut in the event prior and then again missed the cut in the event following. If you are willing to go the route of really high risk for really high reward, so be it. But don't gamble on Campbell if you aren't ready to handle a poor showing.

4. Dustin Johnson -- This rookie was hot to start the year, finishing 12th or better in three of his first four tournaments. Since then, Johnson has looked the part of PGA rookie. Wide eyed and star struck, Johnson has missed the cut in five of his past six events.

5. Jesper Parnevik -- I'll avoid Parnevik just based on the fact that he wears those stupid brimmed hats. Although, I do realize that might just because he wears lame headgear might not be good a enough reason to avoid taking the 2000 champion. So, I'm going to say I'm not picking Parnevik because if it weren't for his T46th last weekend, he wouldn't know what it would be like to make the cut. Parny has MC'd his previous three events and has played the weekend in just half the events he's entered this season.

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Top 10: NBA Players that Deserve a Title (4/22/08)

Past NBA greats have used an NBA championship title in order to cement their place in the history of the game. But not every great pro has the glory of capturing the NBA crown. For every Jordan there is a Malone and for every Barkley there is a Duncan. Of the players in this year's playoffs who have yet to win a title, I've come up with a top ten list of who I find most deserving of finally winning a ring.


1. Kevin Garnett -- Already regarded as one of the best all-around players in NBA history, KG could soon add his second MVP award to an already overcrowded mantle. Adding an NBA trophy would be the final piece to KG's career puzzle and I find him to be the most deserving of taking it home this year.

2. Allen Iverson -- For comparison, Allen Iverson's 27.8 career point per game average is third all-time behind only Michael Jordan and Wilt Chamberlain. Iverson's career has allowed him to see an NBA finals floor in 2001, but his team lost 4-1. Iverson is one of the best point guards to ever play the game, but without an NBA championship ring he might be remembered in the same group as Barkley and Malone.

3. Steve Nash -- Two-time MVP Steve Nash doesn't want another MVP trophy, the only hardware that Nash cares for is a championship trophy. There are excuses, just like how Barkley and Malone can blame Jordan and his bulls, Nash can point the finger at Tim Duncan and his Spurs. Even when Nash spent time in the post season wearing a Dallas uniform he managed to get beat by the Spurs. Nash will be remembered as one of the best passers ever -- it's a shame how great Steve Nash could compare to John Stockton if he can't win a championship.

4. Jason Kidd -- Kidd has been able to carry two teams to the NBA Finals, but on both occasions he walked away without a ring. As one of the best all-around point guards since Magic Johnson, it's hard to imagine that Kidd will end his career without a ring while Magic won five. The Maverick's have a lot of players who feel like they deserve a ring, but the newly acquired Mav makes the best case.

5. Dikembe Mutombo -- Mutombo might not even have room on his mantle for any more trophies, but he definitely deserves one. Pulling off ESPN Classic's best NBA Playoff upset of all-time is a great post season memory, but I imagine that Mutombo would like a ring. Ironically, Mutombo found his way to the NBA finals riding Allen Iverson in 2001 and Jason Kidd in 2003.

6. LeBron James -- You might be saying: How does LeBron deserve a title?? Well, he's probably not. But I put him on this list because it's already clear that James is the future of the NBA and will eventually need a title to solidify his place next to Michael Jordan. And why not get that over with early in the career, rather than later.

7. Ray Allen -- Give Walter Ray a championship ring because of the fact that the guy had to play for Milwaukee for seven years and Seattle for five years. Allen and Sam Cassell were two parts to Milwaukee's big three (Glen Robinson being the third) that went to the Eastern Conference Finals, but there wasn't much success for the Bucks during Allen's days in Milwaukee. After a putting up with 12 years of lousy attempts at winning a title, I'd say Allen deserves it this year.

8. Tracy McGrady -- T-Mac hasn't seen the second round, but for his troubles he deserves to see the NBA finals. McGrady has been the NBA scoring champion twice and will go down as one of the most natural scorers in history. Forget the championship; I'm sure McGrady would be just as satisfied with a first round series win.

9. Mike Bibby -- As a clutch shooter for the Kings, Bibby found his chance for a championship trounced by the Los Angeles Lakers on more than one occasion. Bibby has tasted what it's like to win it all on the colligate level, but his career might be incomplete if he can't win it all on the professional level.

10. Antawn Jamison -- As one of the most underrated players in the NBA, Jamison is also one of the most deserving players to end his career with a championship on his resume. Since 1999, Jamison consistently scored 20 points and grabbed eight rebounds. And like Ray Allen, because of the teams that Jamison has had to put up with throughout his career, he deserves to finally play for the best team in the NBA.

Other ring-less players I debated over: Paul Pierce, Dirk Nowitzki, Jerry Stackhouse, Yao Ming, Carmelo Anthony, T.J. Ford, Andre Miller

Since I was researching the topic I started to compile my own list of the best title-less players of all time and I came up with this top 10:

1. Charles Barkley
2. Karl Malone
3. John Stockton
4. Pete Maravich
5. Elgin Baylor
6. George Gervin
7. Patrick Ewing
8. Gary Payton
9. Reggie Miller
10. Sam Perkins

Other all-time ring-less players I debated over: Shawn Kemp, Dominique Wilkins, Kevin Johnson


Leave a comment with where you would rank the all-time ballers and let me know if I overlooked anybody playing in this year's postseason more deserving than the guys I mention...

Friday, April 18, 2008

NBA Playoffs: FIRST ROUND PREDICITONS (4/18/08)

EASTERN CONFERENCE:

No. 1 Celtics vs. No. 8 Hawks
-- Picking against Boston in round one would be like picking a 16 seed to beat a one seed in the NCAA's.

My Pick: Boston in 4


No. 2 Pistons vs. No. 7 Sixers
-- The aging Pistons might have their hands full with the young gunning Sixers, but I don't see an upset happening.

My Pick: Detroit in 6


No. 3 Magic vs. No. 6 Raptors
-- Toronto fell off in March and has struggled with injuries all season, Orlando should be able to get past round one rather easily.

My Pick: Orlando in 5


No. 4 Cavaliers vs. No. 5 Wizards
-- In what should turn out to be one of the tightest first round match-ups, last year's defending Eastern conference champions will go down in six games to the now healthy and surging Wizards.

My Pick: Washington in 6



WESTERN CONFERENCE:

No. 1 Lakers vs. No. 8 Nuggets
-- Denver will try to bring back the Mutombo magic, but I think Los Angeles is too tough and there shouldn't be a Sonic-meltdown for the Lakers.

My Pick: Los Angeles in 6


No. 2 Hornets vs. No. 7 Mavericks
-- New Orleans is the second seed, but seen as one of the easiest match-ups in the Western conference first round. Dallas surprises and rolls in five games.

My Pick: Dallas in 5


No. 3 Spurs vs. No. 6 Suns
-- Anyone who doesn't want this series to go seven games is not a real fan of quality NBA basketball. As old as the Suns are, I have Amare outlasting Timmy in game seven in San Antonio.

My Pick: Phoenix in 7


No. 4 Jazz vs. No. 5 Rockets
-- Utah lucked out and drew Houston instead of San Antonio or Phoenix. This first round series will allow D-Will and Boozer to get started and once the ball is rolling, look out for Utah.

My Pick: Utah in 6

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

PGA Preview: Verizon Heritage (4/16/08)

Last year, Boo Weekley won the Verizon Heritage outlasting Ernie Els by one shot to capture his first career victory on the PGA tour. On the Masters hang-over weekend, it doesn't feel like a week off from competitive play. The field at the Verizon is stacked with PGA veterans. And along with Jim Furyk, Justin Rose, Ernie Els and Zach Johnson -- future TOUR studs Brandt Snedeker, J.B. Holmes and Aaron Baddeley (2006 champ) will also tee it up on the Harbour Town Golf Links at the Sea Pines Resort on Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Here are my players I'm considering and the guys I'll avoid for this weekend's upcoming tournament.


Players to Consider:

1. Brandt Snedeker -- Snedeker wasn't alone with his blow-up round on Sunday at Augusta, but you have to imagine his T3rd was a personal disappointment. I'm considering Snedeker this weekend because I know his game is focused and I know that he's got something left to prove. With a strong opening round on the Harbour Town Links, I think that his confidence will carry him to a top finish.

2. Zach Johnson -- After shooting a Sunday round of 77, Johnson finished T20th at the Masters in his attempt to defend his green jacket. With the burden of the Masters behind him, Johnson should be able to get his game ready for a nice run at becoming the new defending champion at the Verizon.

3. Ernie Els -- You might have the wrong impression of Els after he missed the cut at the Masters last weekend. Remember now that it was only a month and a half ago when Els won the Honda Classic. With a sour taste in his missed-cut mouth, I think Els is a solid player to consider this weekend.

4. Stewart Cink -- Cink won this event in 2000 and again in 2004. If every four years is his routine, look for Cink to sink enough putts in order to hoist the trophy.

5. Sean O'Hair -- A strong showing at the season's first major has O'Hair on my radar. O'Hair followed a win at the PODS Championship on March 9 with a T3rd at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. His game is primed to break-out and another strong finish will have people talking about the 25-year-old from Texas.



Players to Avoid:

1. Camilo Villegas -- There hasn't been any reason yet this season to consider choosing Camilo Villegas as a contender. After missing the cut at the Masters last weekend, I have all but given up on this flashy dressing athlete as a candidate for the PGA's next great golfer. You might think that finishing top 25 or top 30 is good, which it is, but they aren't the standard in which Villegas wishes to compete. And therefore Villegas isn't playing to the standards in which I wish to consider.

2. John Rollins -- Last season Rollins played well and appeared to be making strides at becoming a house-hold name on tour. Recently (back-to-back MC's), it seems as if Rollins has taken a step backward. Until I know I am able to get four rounds in a row from Rollins, I'll hold off on considering him.

3. Davis Love III -- Even though this PGA legend has won the Verizon Heritage five times since 1987 (last time in 2003), I don't think this will be a year you should expect to see Love at the top of the leaderboard.

4. Tom Lehman -- Lehman has been lame, man. As a Minnesota native myself I have followed the Minnesota ntive Lehman since I can remember following golf. Of the eight events he's played this season, Lehman has only made the cut in three. His over 100th place finishes aren't going to make me a believer anytime soon. For that to happen, I need to see more results like the T8th he had at the Arnold Palmer before I start to consider picking Tommy boy.

5. Tim Herron -- The only other legit Minnesotan on the PGA tour besides Tom Lehman is Tim Herron. After producing three rounds of 72 and a round of 70 at the Shell Houston Open, it might be time to consider Herron. But for now, Herron's MC's and high 70 rounds have me avoiding him this weekend.

Sunday, April 13, 2008

16 NBA Playoffs Teams, 4 Tiers... (4/13/08)

The NBA Playoffs starts Saturday and the 16 teams are all but decided. For the fun of it, I split the 16 playoff teams into four tiers and forced myself to pick one team from each tier that will the most games. Let me know what you think of my picks and make your own.


Tier 1: Boston, Detroit, Los Angeles, San Antonio

My Pick: Boston

-- The top tier is likely to be where the NBA champion arises. San Antonio will have a rough second round series (no matter what), but if they can make it to the championship round in the West, they'll be a very tough out. Los Angeles appears to be a year away from being a real legit contender. Andrew Bynum might not help even if he does return and with Phoenix, Utah and New Orleans also trying to make it out of the West -- choosing an Eastern Conference team out of the top tier might be a wise decision. I'm going to take Boston because I'd love to see Kevin Garnett win it all. I'm also taking them because I believe in coach Doc Rivers and I also have faith in the Boston bench.


Tier 2: New Orleans, Utah, Phoenix, Orlando

My Pick: Phoenix

-- Orlando might have the best shot at winning some first round games out of this group, but if you want to risk taking a team from this tier that could win it all (not just a couple games), you have to go with Phoenix or Utah. I'll avoid New Orleans because the more I watch them, the more I think they've made a nice regular season out of it, but I don't think they're made for the playoffs. I'm also going to pass on Utah, even though they have been stellar to close out the season. My pick is Phoenix because of the big three Steve Nash, Amare Stoudamire and Shaquille O'Neal. The Suns are starting play together and I like the quiet, yet talented bench containing Boris Diaw, Leandro Barbosa and Grant Hill. As much as I could see young up-and-comers Chris Paul and Deron Williams leading their teams out of this tier, I have to go with veteran leaders Nash and Shaq to collect the most victories from this bunch.


Tier 3: Houston, Dallas, Cleveland, Denver

My Pick: Dallas

-- The Mavericks have plenty of motivation heading into the 2008 playoffs. After being the Goliath who got Davided last year by Golden State, this season as the seventh seed Dallas will look to do the Daviding. It's hard to ignore what LeBron James is capable of doing for the Cavs, but I just don't like his situation in round one. Cleveland looks like they are going to have to play their first round series against Washington for the third straight post season. And with Gilbert Arenas back, the Wizards could be a tough out. Houston might have their hands full against Utah in round one, even if they do end up with home court advantage. Denver might actually be a sneaky pick in this tier. If the Nuggets play defense (big if), Allen Iverson's experience coupled with Carmelo's desire to be compared with Wade and James along with his passion to win under pressure, could amount to a nice little run for the Nuggets. But I'll put my money on last year's MVP and his new running mate Jason Kidd to tally the most wins out of these four teams.


Tier 4: Washington, Toronto, Philadelphia, Atlanta

My Pick: Washington

-- In the final tier, all Eastern conference teams, I have to pick the Wizards. As much as I like the idea that the Sixers and Hawks could make for a tough out against Boston or Detroit, who won't be expecting to face real competition in round one. And as much as I think Chris Bosh and company could overcome a rough ending to the regular season to give thier round one opponent a scare -- I still like Washington. Besides the fact that Gilber Arenas just got back into the lineup and has played well, I like Washington because I don't like Cleveland. I think that the Wizards are underrated and are oozing with talent. DeShawn Stevenson, Antonio Daniels, Brenden Haywood, Daruis Songaila, Andray Blatche and Roger Mason make the Wizards big three look great. If Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison and Gilbert Arenas can up the tempo and keep the chemistry going -- the Wizards will take pride in playing spoiler.

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

CheChe23's NBA Power Rankings (Apr. 9, 2008)

For the last week of the season I take a look back on my first power rankings list. On November 13, the Boston Celtics held the top spot and today they hold the same position in my final rankings. There were eight teams in the first top 10 that managed to hold their top 10 status throughout the season, while the Hornets (12th) and Lakers (16th), each led by MVP candidates, replaced the Magic (9th) and Bulls (10th). Just for comparison I've linked ESPN's Marc Stein week one power rankings so that you can see how far the NBA has come in five and a half months. Thanks for reading my rankings every Wednesday, I had fun writing them -- stay tuned for my posts during the playoffs. Without further ado, here is the final "CheChe23's NBA Power Rankings" for 2008.

BIGGEST RISE: New York Knicks from 29th to 23rd.
BIGGEST FALL: Phoenix Suns from 5th to 7th.

(Editor's note: "LW" indicates each team's ranking from CheChe23's previous week. —DC)

CheChe23's Power Rankings: April 9, 2008
TEAM RK (LW) W-L COMMENT
1 (2) 62-15 The Celtics have a very legit chance at winning the NBA title this year. One thing people said the Celtics lacked was a point guard to bail out Rajon Rondo -- they answered that by signing Sam Cassell. I've heard that the Celtics bench won't be able to get it done -- the Boston bench alone could make the playoffs in the East: Big Baby Davis, Leon Powe, Tony Allen, James Posey and Eddie House. Combined that with the KG, Pierce and Allen and what does it all that mean? It's only a matter of time now before Boston wins its first title since 1986.
2 (1) 54-23 I'll take the Hornets to finish the year with the best record in the Western Conference. For one, the Hornets all know that if they finish first, in all likelihood Chris Paul will have better odds of landing the MVP. Two, because they don't want to be the second seed and have to face the seventh seeded Mavericks in round one.
3 (4) 53-21 San Antonio plays Phoenix tonight, Los Angeles on Sunday and finishes the season against Utah. All of those games will hold huge significance on the playoff seeding, first round outcomes and possibly the future NBA champion.
4 (3) 55-21 Detroit is looking at a match-up with the Raptors or Sixers in the first round of the playoffs. The Pistons could easily win the NBA championship with the studs you are familiar with and a bench you might be unfamiliar with and they'll enter the playoffs with the same reputation they love having and have thrived off of in the past. I'm just not sure they've ever entered the playoffs facing such fierce competition.
5 (6) 53-24 Utah started their own little "playoff preview" schedule with a 26 point win against San Antonio and a 11 point victory over New Orleans last night. Utah has four games left, two at home and the Jazz are well aware of the importance of finishing the season unblemished. The Jazz currently sit one game back of Houston for outright home court advantage -- it should be heated on Monday when the two teams face head-to-head.
6 (7) 52-26 Kobe has MVP prove-it games against New Orleans on Friday and San Antonio on Sunday. Depending on the outcome of the weekends games -- the Western Conference (and the MVP) could be won by Los Angeles (and Kobe Bryant).
7 (5) 52-26 With losses to Denver and Dallas this month and a tough schedule ahead, the Suns could lose out on their chance at playing the first round in Arizona. It's hard to say the importance in winning their final four games, it looks like Phoenix is stuck in the sixth spot. Wins won't come easy because San Antonio, Houston and Golden State (Phoenix hosts Portland in their final game) all have something to play for.
8 (8) 52-25 Houston might be considered the easiest team to match-up with in the first round. With five games left, Houston will try to out-win Utah for home-court in the first round.
9 (11) 48-29 With three wins in four games this month, Dallas has crept back into the top 10. Dirk Nowitzki played one of his best games of the season on Sunday leading the Mavericks past the Suns on 32 points and 12 rebounds showing his knee isn't holding him back. Dallas played April last season with no purpose and entered the playoffs stale and tight. Maybe they'll have the opposite outcome in the post season as they enter the playoffs after having the opposite April they had from last year.
10 (11) 47-31 "We're under big-time pressure," Allen Iverson said about his team after losing in double-overtime Sunday to the lowly Sonics. A match-up against the Warriors on Thursday wil be the NBA's version of a tournament play-in game. It might take the Nuggets a win on the last game of the season to make it to the playoffs -- lucky for them they play Memphis.

OUTSIDE THE TOP 10:

11. Golden State Warriors (47-31): Golden State hasn't proved that they deserve to play in the playoffs losing games against San Antonio, Dallas and New Orleans this month. A match-up with Denver on Thursday will draw a big audience on TNT and has big implications on the eighth seed in the West.
12. Orlando Magic (48-29): Losing to New York after handling Cleveland only makes me wonder what the Magic will do to finish out the season. More importantly, what they'll do in the postseason.
13. Cleveland Cavaliers (43-35): The Cavs finish the season against Detroit. But the Eastern Conference playoffs won't pair Cleveland and Detroit together unless the two make it to the Championship series.
14. Philadelphia 76ers (39-38): With the way that Orlando has played, Philadelphia could easily come away a winner in the opening round series against the Magic.
15. Washington Wizards (40-37): The Wizards have five games left and four are against playoff teams. If they want to improve their seeding, they'll have to do it against the playoff teams they hope to upset.
16. Toronto Raptors (38-39): Toronto is 4-6 in their last 10 and has started April 0-3. The Raptors will need to win four of five for a shot at not having to face Detroit in a first round series. The two teams match-up on Sunday in what could be a second seed vs seventh seed preview.
17. Portland Trail Blazers (39-39): Portland played spoiler to the Lakers last night and could do the same to the Mavericks on Saturday or Suns next Wednesday. It is good to see Brandon Roy on the floor again after missing four games with a strained groin. Roy could be leading this team on a Western Conference title charge at this time next season.
18. Atlanta Hawks (36-42): After losing last night to the Pacers, the Hawks are in jeopardy of choking away their playoff spot.
19. Indiana Pacers (34-44): Philadelphia, Charlotte, Washington and New York remain on the schedule and are all must wins if Indiana hopes to make an upset trip to the playoffs.
20. New Jersey Nets (32-45): New Jersey didn't do enough over their last 10 games (4-6) to make a playoff run. It's too little too late now.
21. Sacramento Kings (36-41): Funny thing about Sacramento is that they are helping Golden State in their playoff pursuit. The Kings beat the Nuggets Saturday and lost to the Warriors last night.
22. Chicago Bulls (30-47): Chicago never imagined that they'd be finishing out the season with nothing to play for. Or at least not in this fashion.
23. New York Knicks (22-56): New York has a lot to look forward to with incoming president Donnie Walsh. Wilson Chandler's season-high 23 points and eight rebounds Sunday gave Knick fans a player to look forward to.
24. Charlotte Bobcats (30-48): The Bobcats showed they aren't hustling when the Celtics out-rebounded Chatlotte 54-35 and had just six steals to Boston's 13 on Saturday.
25. Los Angeles Clippers (22-52): Elton Brand has picked up right where he left off from last year. The Clippers will be back in the playoff hunt next year.
26. Milwaukee Bucks (26-51): If it wasn't a long enough season, the Bucks had to play the Celtics last night and will play them again on Friday, this time in Boston.
27. Memphis Grizzlies (21-57): One thing Memphis can do without the lumbering legs of Pau Gasol is get up and down the court. Memphis has outputs of 114, 101 and 113 in three of the last four games.
28. Minnesota Timberwolves (19-53): Al Jefferson might be wearing down. In the first 67 games this year Big Al recorded 49 double-doubles, but over the last 10 games he's had just three.
29. Seattle Sonics (17-57): On Sunday, Seattle scored 151 points in Kevin Durant's best game of his career. In the win, Durant stamped his Rookie of the Year resume with a career best 37 points and a career best nine assists.
30. Miami Heat (13-61): Miami area columnists are already touting Memphis' Derrick Rose as the savior of the Heat franchise. Even after what I saw from Rose in the tourney, there is no way I'd pass on Michael Beasley if I owned rights to the No. 1 overall pick. The team with the worst record has a 25% chance of landing the top pick, a 46.5% chance of one of the first two picks and a 64.3% chance of landing one of the first three picks.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

PGA Preview: The Masters (4/8/08)

With the season's first major starting Thursday, it's hard to pin-point who will emerge as the champion. I've come up with 20 golfers who could hoist the trophy on Sunday, but we all know that there is only one favorite -- the rest are just contenders.


The Favorite :

1. Tiger Woods -- Woods will start his quest for Grand Slam on the grasses of Augusta National Golf Club. It has been 11 years since Woods won his first Green Jacket in 1997, but since then he's worn an additional three sport coats. No one will be surprised if Woods is at the top of the leaderboard come Sunday. But what we should be surprised about is the way the rest of the field is opening up the opportunity for Woods to be great. Rest assured that Tiger won't beat himself this weekend, it will take another golfer to topple him. I'm just afraid that there really aren't any contenders up for the challenge.


The Challengers :

2. Phil Mickelson -- It's sometimes hard to remember how amazing Phil Mickelson can play. The shadow that Tiger casts over the rest of golf is huge, but Mickelson could level the conversation by winning his third Masters in five tries.

3. K. J. Choi -- Choi has my full attention going into the first major of the season. His last four events (T7th, T5th, T12th, T11th) put Choi from "contender" to legit challenger. Choi will look to become the first Asian golfer to win a major title.

4. Ernie Els -- Els may be considered the best player never to have worn the Green Jacket, will his time be now?

5. Sergio Garcia -- Google search "best player to have never won a major" and you'll probably get Sergio Garcia's name to pop up in the first few suggestions. If Garcia wants to exchange his orange shirt for a Green Jacket he'll have to tame his putter and play perfectly through four rounds of Amen Corner.

6. Vijay Singh -- Since winning in 2000, Singh hasn't had a significant statement victory on tour. Maybe this will be his time to step back into the limelight.

7. Geoff Ogilvy -- A slow start is all but forgotten with the way Ogilvy has played as of late, look for the momentum to continue as Ogilvy shops for his first Green Jacket.

8. Adam Scott -- Scott could easily be considered in the short list of players who are the best in the game, but haven't captured a major title. Scott pulled out of the Shell Houston Open last weekend to focus his game on the tradition unlike any other -- he should be prepared for a chance at the trophy.

9. Padraig Harrington -- Paddy has already finished third and fourth this season, but he's looking for that victory. Harrington's skills are good enough to win on a major level (hence his British title last year) and his bogey-free Sunday round at the Shell Houston Open will provide him with some momentum.

10. Jim Furyk -- If there is one "big name" that you could avoid, it would be Furyk. But like unlike any tournament, the Masters can draw the best out of the field and an individual. Furyk will look to stay in contention with calm and unrattled play.

11. Justin Rose -- Some experts suggest that a victory at Augusta would be enough to elevate Rose to the same status as Phil and Tiger.

12. Rory Sabbatini -- Rory has been able to make it to the weekend in each event he's played this season. Tiger's biggest threat might just be Sabbatini -- who has threatened Woods in the past both on and off the course.

13. Steve Stricker -- There is no question that Stricker wants to win the Masters and there is no question that he'll be in contention -- Stricker has averaged an eighth place finish in 10 events this season.

14. Zach Johnson -- Johnson hits the ball consistently and straight, which is partially why he's the defending Masters champion.


Outside Shot :

15. Mike Weir -- Just on the brink of being a challenger, the 2003 Masters champion has his sights set on pulling off a major upset.

16. Stewart Cink -- Rule violations left Cink with a bad taste in his mouth after being DQ'd at the Zurich Classic for rule 13-4a. According to the rule, because Cink raked his bunker following the shot he was therefore "testing the conditions" and in violation of PGA legality. It's absurd. Maybe Cink will take out his frustrations on Augusta National.

17. Justin Leonard -- Leonard sneaks his way onto my "outside shot" list for the way he's played this season. But he's left out of the "challengers" section because of his last three events -- Leonard has finished T30, T34th and T39th.


Making A Debut :

18. John Senden -- In Yahoo's fantasy Golf game, Senden ranks second, in the second tier, in average fantasy points scored per tournament just behind Justin Leonard.

19. J.B. Holmes -- Holmes is playing in his first ever Masters thanks to his victory at the FBR Open back in January.

20. Boo Weekley -- Weekley has earned his place in the field this weekend, but he'll have to control his short game if he wants a shot at competing with Tiger.

Others to consider : Woody Austin, Brandt Snedeker, Aaron Baddeley, Daniel Chopra, D.J. Trahan, Stuart Appleby, Luke Donald, Jose Maria Olazabal

Wednesday, April 2, 2008

CheChe23's NBA Power Rankings (Apr. 2, 2008)

The NBA is less than a week away from becoming the only basketball left to watch. The NBA season officially ends following the games on Wednesday, April 16 -- exactly two weeks from tonight. This is the second to last version of CheChe23's NBA Power Rankings, read my comments about each NBA team and then make your own.

BIGGEST RISE: Denver Nuggets from 13th to 9th.
BIGGEST FALL: Philadelphia from 10th to 13th.

(Editor's note: "LW" indicates each team's ranking from CheChe23's previous week. —DC)

CheChe23's Power Rankings: April 2, 2008
TEAM RK (LW) W-L COMMENT
1 (2) 58-21 Boston could and should enter the playoffs with a 12 game winning streak and the No. 1 overall seed in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics started the year as the expected 2008 NBA championship and they'll enter the post season with the same expectations. There is no question we will eventually see the overly awaited Celtics/Pistons Eastern conference championship series, but will it go seven games?
2 (1) 51-22 Just when I thought that the Hornets were about to lose last night to Orlando, they put together a 30-23 third quarter and outlasted the Magic in the fourth quarter thanks to 19 points and 12 assists from Chris Paul. The schedule isn't favorable, but the Hornets are capable of winning every game they have left. The Dallas/New Orleans game on the last day of the season might be a preview of a potential opening round playoff series.
3 (3) 53-21 As soon as Flip Saunders saw Minnesota on the schedule he deactivated Chauncey Billups, Rasheed Wallace and Richard Hamilton. Not because he was scared of the team he once coached to the Western conference finals but because Saunders admits he's settling for second place in the East and his guys might need a rest. Detroit has played eight sets of back-to-back games since the All-Star break and they finish the final eight regular season games playing two sets of back-to-backs. Oh, and without the big three, the Pistons still won.
4 (8) 51-23 Wouldn't it be fitting if after all is said and done the Spurs sat atop the Western Conference? If they can finish the regular season unblemished, they'll do just that. But that might be easier said than done with Portland, Phoenix, Los Angeles and two games against Utah still remaining on the schedule.
5 (6) 51-24 Before last night's loss to Denver, the Suns had won 11 of their last 13 and the only losses were to the top of the East (@ DET, @ BOS). Amare Stoudemire has emerged as an MVP candidate with his extended role since Shaq replaced Shawn Marion. Denver Nuggets head coach George Karl said it best following his teams loss to the Suns Monday night, "The window of his offensive opportunities has grown since Shaq has gotten here," Karl said. "Nash and D'Antoni have done a good job of changing their offense in a subtle way, and Stoudemire seems to be the guy that's gained the most touches and advantages."
6 (5) 49-26 There is a possibility that the Jazz will enter the playoffs as the fourth seed and have home court advantage in the first round, but the fifth overall seed could have a better record. Since Utah will have the best record in the Northwest division, they will be granted homecourt advantage. This means that the loser of the Suns and Lakers battle for the Pacific may end up with a better record than Utah, but will have to play on the road in round one. Kicker stat: Utah has the best record at home and the most home victories in the NBA.
7 (4) 50-24 If you just read my Jazz comment than you understand the importance of winning the Pacific division. The way things are going right now have the Suns moving one way and the Lakers going the other. Kobe needs to lock up his bid for MVP by stepping up in the Lakers final eight games. Maybe Phil Jackson's team meditation session will do the trick or maybe Ira Newble will help.
8 (7) 49-24 Houston is 3-5 since their win streak ended. The Rockets are still firmly in the playoff picture, but their status without Yao Ming is now beginning to wear on them. This season, the three seed in the West might have the easiest time in round one if Houston finishes sixth.
9 (13) 46-29 With a win over Phoenix last night Denver sneaks into the playoffs picture. The hardest victory that the Nuggets have left on the schedule might come in a string of games that Denver plays at Golden State, at Utah and against Houston.
10 (11) 46-29 The Warriors matched every win with a loss for their last six victories. The Warriors/Mavericks game tonight will mean a lot more than a re-match of last season's crazy first round playoff series.

OUTSIDE THE TOP 10:

11. Dallas Mavericks (46-28): Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors, tonight, 9:30 ET, ESPN. The Mavericks play games against playoff teams in five of their final eight games.
12. Orlando Magic (47-28): The Magic couldn't move up in the rankings after giving the Hornets a win last night. Orlando has all but locked in on the three seed in the East and therefore a date in round one with either Washington or Toronto.
13. Philadelphia 76ers (38-37): The Sixers have played as good as any Eastern conference team since the All-Star break. Philadelphia can put Atlanta back in the same group as Indiana and New Jersey and vault themselves in the same group as Toronto and Washington if they Sixers win back-to-back with the Hawks this weekend.
14. Cleveland Cavaliers (41-33): Cleveland will get Ben Wallace back in the lineup if his coach would let him play. Wallace, who has suffered from back spasms, received clearance to play on Sunday, but head coach Mike Brown wants to be conservative. Regardless, I'm not confident that LeBron James will be able to lead this group back to the NBA Finals.
15. Toronto Raptors (38-36): Compared with the Wizards, who are tied with the Raptors for fifth in the East, the Raptors have an easier remainder of the season which will give them a shot at matching with Cleveland in round one and not Orlando.
16. Washington Wizards (38-36): The Wizards expect to get Agent Zero back soon and a playoff run isn't out of the picture for Washington.
17. Portland Trail Blazers (38-36): Portland finishes the year playing six out of eight games against playoff teams starting tonight against the Lakers.
18. Atlanta Hawks (34-40): Atlanta doesn't expect to miss the postseason, up three games on New Jersey with eight games to go.
19. Sacramento Kings (34-40): Sacramento would be a playoff team if the post season was the NBA's top 16 teams.
20. New Jersey Nets (31-44): The Nets will try to make up ground on the Hawks with only seven games remaining and five of the seven are against Eastern conference playoff bound teams.
21. Indiana Pacers (31-43): If Indiana can stun Boston tonight, they have a shot at the post season. The Celtics win, the Pacers are done (not mathematically, but according to me).
22. Chicago Bulls (29-45): Chicago was my sleeper to emerge in the East for a magical playoff run. Boy, was I wrong. The Bulls are going to miss the post season in what will amount to one big disappointing seasons.
23. Charlotte Bobcats (28-46): Charlotte has a lot of potential, but they've fallen short of the post season and won't be a major player in the lottery either.
24. Minnesota Timberwolves (19-53): The Timberwolves are so bad that other teams treat them as a night off. The Pistons big three was granted the night off against Minnesota Tuesday and the Wolves still managed to find a way to lose.
25. Los Angeles Clippers (22-52): Apparently Elton Brand is coming back. But Chris Kaman is probably done for the year.
26. Milwaukee Bucks (25-48): It took Milwaukee overtime to beat New York. Wow, what a great game to be at -- the Bradley Center was probably packed to capacity.
27. Seattle Sonics (17-57): Seattle's Jeff Green finished Sunday's game with 21 points, topping the 20-point mark for the third time this year.
28. Memphis Grizzlies (19-55): If the Grizzlies get the second overall pick in next year's draft, I'm hoping that they don't take Memphis Tigers guard Derek Rose -- because I want Minnesota to land him.
29. New York Knicks (20-54): Thankfully New York got to play Miami beause they wouldn't know what it's like to win otherwise. New York has lost 15 of 17 games with the only two wins coming against Miami.
30. Miami Heat (13-61): Pat Riley missed the Heat's last two games because he was scouting at the NCAA tournament. Riley did say that it was doubtful he'd miss any games scouting the Final Four.

HOT HOT HOT

1. Josh Howard -- Howard has done his best to step up in place of Dirk Nowitzki and try to lead the Mavericks into the playoffs. The guard-forward finished March with 30+ points in three of the final four games.
2. Carmelo Anthony -- Denver is making a late season playoff push thanks to the one-two punch of Allen Iverson and Carmelo Anthony. Last Thursday, Melo nearly put up a triple double hanging 32 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists on the Mavericks.
3. Michael Finley -- The Spurs are happy to get 10 points and a couple rebounds from Mike Finley, but recently he's been stepping up. Finley played the first nearly the first three months of the season as the starting shooting guard, but came off the bench for most of February. Back in the starting line-up the past nine games Finley has played inspired. Over the last five games, all Spur victories, Finley is averaging 18.2 ppg and 4.2 rpg best of all he's shooting 63% from the field (35/55).

NOT NOT NOT

1. Raymond Felton -- Ray doesn't make the NOT list because he's played poorly, he makes the list because of his quietness. Yea, Felton is a 14 and 7 player, but he needs to be more of a 14 and 10 player. Felton also makes this list because I can't help but think of the Tar Heels '05 championship season. One thing is for sure, Ty Lawson has nothing on Ray Felton.
2. Shane Battier -- I went to bed decided on Battier for the NOT list. Battier didn't start for the first time all season Sunday in a Rockets loss to the Spurs and has struggled from the floor in his past three games (8/26, 30%). But Battier made his pledge to avoid the Not list with 9 points, 9 rebounds, 4 steals, 4 blocks and 2 assists last night. The reason why he stayed? The Rockets lost.
3. Mo Williams -- Since going back-to-back nights with 20, 10 assists and five rebounds on March 22 and 24, Williams hasn't eclipsed 20 points, 10 assists or five rebounds once. Last night's five points, two assists and one rebound was poor enough to make the NOT list. Not to mention that Williams averages nearly 3.0 turnovers per game.